• TS Erin expected to stren

    From Dumas Walker@21:1/175 to All on Tue Aug 12 08:47:30 2025
    629
    WTNT35 KNHC 120843
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Erin Advisory Number 4
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025
    500 AM AST Tue Aug 12 2025

    ...ERIN EXPECTED TO BEGIN STRENGTHENING SOON...
    ...LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER THIS WEEK IN THE CENTRAL
    TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.4N 34.3W
    ABOUT 690 MI...1105 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
    ABOUT 1890 MI...3045 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Erin was
    located near latitude 17.4 North, longitude 34.3 West. Erin is
    moving toward the west near 22 mph (35 km/h), and this motion is
    expected to continue for the next several days with a decrease in
    forward speed and a gradual turn toward the west-northwest.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Gradual strengthening is forecast over the next several days, and
    Erin is expected to become a hurricane in the next couple of days.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
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