ACUS11 KWNS 030321
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030320
OKZ000-TXZ000-030445-

Mesoscale Discussion 2439
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0920 PM CST Mon Nov 02 2026

Areas affected...Portions of central/eastern Oklahoma into far North
Texas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 701...702...703...

Valid 030320Z - 030445Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 701, 702, 703 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong low-level jet will continue to support the risk
for QLCS circulations from the Red River vicinity into east-central
Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...Several linear segments continue slowly eastward across
Oklahoma into North Texas. The strongest convection exists near the
Red River. While a local dry pocket of surface air exists ahead of
the current activity, upper 60s F dewpoints continue to stream
through the ArkLaTex into eastern Oklahoma. A strong low-level jet
is evident in KINX VAD data (50-55 kt in the lowest km). A few
showers have started to develop near the AR/OK border in association
with the low-level warm advection. Given the strength of the
low-level shear, QLCS circulations will remain possible into the
overnight. Depending on how convection along the Red River evolves,
local extensions in time/area of WW 702 may be needed if intensity
is maintained.

..Wendt.. 11/03/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!5ZjShNaGtB8IicX7vRniBdTT05UUwpLd3x3eA9HvvBWVxVhFEjFFHCU-DJKO1Evr7Khm8l3i98T5jfXSB8Vq8pNjSds$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 33719822 35659708 36029637 35979554 35689510 35199470
34829477 33889578 33499655 33409751 33449809 33719822

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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--- scorpsmtpd
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