ACUS11 KWNS 282303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282302
NEZ000-COZ000-290030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1792
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0602 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

Areas affected...Eastern CO into the NE Panhandle

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528...

Valid 282302Z - 290030Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 528
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat for hail and localized severe gusts will continue
into the evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered strong to severe storms are ongoing at 23 UTC
from eastern CO into the NE Panhandle. MLCAPE of 1500-2500 J/kg and
effective shear of 30-40 kt (greater with northward extent) will
continue to support organized storm structures into this evening,
with a continued threat for isolated hail and severe gusts.
Potential for organized upscale growth may tend to be limited by
generally weak large-scale ascent and the expected lack of nocturnal
low-level jet development. However, moist low-level easterly flow
may allow for some clustering along expanding outflows, supporting a
continued localized severe-wind risk as convection spreads eastward
with time.

..Dean.. 07/28/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fjg!7k-vCjvaUvVeMs_BpyDK_scBr6qdkLFDc-AskTWIrqYtWf7YxzBUomb-UXOC1KVJncEGbbyPM0lahERUegW4X0bgIbE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON 37890503 40400402 41560346 42700199 42530154 40790208
39200224 38500241 37960307 37710410 37890503

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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