ACUS11 KWNS 090402
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090402=20
MOZ000-KSZ000-090530-

Mesoscale Discussion 1041
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1102 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

Areas affected...eastern Kansas and western Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 090402Z - 090530Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A bowing cluster will continue east/southeastward with a
risk for severe gusts and a couple of tornadoes into the overnight
hours. A new Watch will be issued downstream.

DISCUSSION...An intense bowing complex over central KS with a
history of significant wind damage is expected to continue
east/southeastward this evening and overnight. Numerous reports of
measured severe winds, damage, and observed radar velocities
indicate this complex remains very strong. A large reservoir of
buoyancy (MUCAPE 3000-4000 J/kg) remains in place over eastern KS,
weakening into western MO. This should maintain the threat for
damaging gusts with these strong storms for a few more hours
tonight. Strong low-level shear could also support a couple of QLCS
tornadoes.

Current CAM trends eventually show weakening later tonight as the
complex is forecast to move into weaker buoyancy and increasing
nocturnal inhibition along the KS/MO border. However, the strength
of the cold pool and radar observed rear inflow jet suggest this
will take several hours. A threat for damaging gusts and QLCS
tornadoes will likely continue for some time tonight. A Watch
downstream from WW290 will be issued for portions of eastern KS and
western MO in the next hour.

..Lyons/Gleason.. 06/09/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5OswJ17jOw2E4kns1BM1ojVnjxJI2WYuHXrgMuSLOytjkguICl0MHBVEEY6FX3rlO8Qy9xme0= dIClXiEH7hfF6wZSV8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 37109363 37019459 37429589 37829685 38179681 39139644
39449609 39429435 39219382 38759326 38299318 37489327
37109363=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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