ACUS11 KWNS 082302
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082302=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-090030-

Mesoscale Discussion 1033
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0602 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Kansas...and far
southern Nebraska

Concerning...Tornado Watch 287...

Valid 082302Z - 090030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 287 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storms ongoing within Tornado Watch 287 are likely
to remain severe this evening with a threat for all hazards.
Additional development and upscale growth is possible but uncertain. Regardless, the threat for severe weather should increase farther
east this evening. A downstream watch will likely be needed.

DISCUSSION...Several robust supercells have matured along the
frontal boundary this afternoon from southern NE into northern KS
across Tornado Watch 287. The environment remains hot and extremely
unstable with dewpoints in the 70s F supporting MLCAPE of 4000-5000
J/kg. This, along with deep-layer shear of 35-40 kt will continue to
support a robust severe environment favorable for large to very
large hail. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are also possible
with more persistent supercell structures despite modest low-level
shear.

Vigorous new storm development over northern KS suggests the
potential for storm clustering and upscale growth this evening. As
convective coverage increases, cold pool consolidation may
eventually favor the development of an organized cluster or bowing
segment. This would increase the threat for damaging winds as the
system moves southeastward this evening. The larger buoyancy could
potentially support some significant gusts and the potential for
QLCS tornadoes as well.

While the exact convective evolution is uncertain, the environment
downstream of WW287 is supportive of a severe weather threat. This
threat should increase over the next hour or so as storms spread
eastward. A downstream Watch is likely this evening, though
uncertainty on the type and timing remains.

..Lyons/Gleason.. 06/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7rZzCi0ADdiMoIkBuEcj0iY6ry0iZYk8TaURj-V5OsMGlTMM24tqXNETMYp_hq7fwSwYGUpCm= sFa6Y-CK92DHKvZyKY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 40489919 39789635 39449617 38959602 38399621 37979639
37959703 38319834 38549935 38739975 38979996 39830015
40489919=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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