• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1031

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 8 19:52:25 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 081952
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 081951=20
    NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-082145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1031
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0251 PM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

    Areas affected...parts of southeastern Wyoming and adjacent
    northeastern Colorado/southwestern Nebraska

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

    Valid 081951Z - 082145Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

    SUMMARY...Renewed isolated supercell development possible through
    late afternoon. Trends are being monitored for the possibility of a
    severe weather watch.

    DISCUSSION...Isolated vigorous thunderstorm development is already
    underway near/north of the Cheyenne Ridge, likely supported by
    inflow emanating from a narrow corridor of low-level moistening
    along the Front Range into southeastern Wyoming. Although warming
    mid-levels and slower low-level moisture to the east of the higher
    terrain may initially inhibit eastward propagation of stronger
    convection, upslope flow into the higher terrain near/east of
    Cheyenne may provide a focus for renewed strong to severe
    thunderstorm development through late afternoon. Beneath modest,
    but strongly sheared, southwesterly deep-layer mean flow, this may
    include an evolving supercell or two accompanied by the risk for
    large hail.

    ..Kerr/Smith.. 06/08/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5zqflBniXnD-7TSJ0LujP6lOKoMp_qWz7tnrPvpw1c2QqnqksX2xqG48uQyxogeQvVlwXTe80= iW_sxm3OAodRbFqNIY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...BOU...CYS...

    LAT...LON 42410493 41880380 40920382 41010469 41980529 42410493=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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