ACUS11 KWNS 081209
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081209=20
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-081415-

Mesoscale Discussion 1026
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0709 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northwest Arkansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286...

Valid 081209Z - 081415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds and perhaps a tornado remain possible with
a small MCS moving generally southward this morning. A local
extension of the watch is possible, but expected limited/slow
destabilization downstream of this activity gives low confidence in
the need for an additional watch this morning.

DISCUSSION...As cold pools have congealed this morning, a small MCS
formed and has been slowly moving southward over the last 1-2 hours.
Some continued southward movement (with perhaps some westerly
component into the large MUCAPE reservoir in OK) can be expected
over the next couple of hours. A more north-south oriented portion
of the line south of Springfield, MO, will likely continue east.
Damaging winds remain the greatest threat, though a tornado is still
possible. The tornado threat will be greatest with the north-south
portion of the system given the more favorable, orthogonal low-level
shear vector. It is unclear how long this activity will last as the
low-level jet will gradually decrease and visible satellite shows a
low-level cloud deck. Trends will be monitored and a local extension
of the watch is possible, but an additional watch is not currently
expected.

..Wendt.. 06/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!42v_amjTg3uEoi-BNBlU-TX9JzQl16CfFwZodVUTpElPE8QdKZ6E3h53P2fnt2VX11j2xHjZi= OrcsAqfZu2b_NySlpM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

LAT...LON 36319585 37219559 37299528 37069470 37009423 37049377
37269327 37189289 36559273 35569335 35269436 35579529
36319585=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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