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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1024

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 8 09:23:50 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 080923
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 080923=20
    MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-081130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1024
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0423 AM CDT Mon Jun 08 2026

    Areas affected...Northeast Oklahoma...southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northwest Arkansas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286...

    Valid 080923Z - 081130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 286
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated wind damage remains possible early this morning.
    If a stronger cold pool develops, expect southward movement of a
    small MCS. A tornado threat also remains, particularly with embedded
    supercell structures.

    DISCUSSION...Regional VAD data continues to show a low-level jet
    focused into northeast Oklahoma/southwest Missouri. This will
    support additional convective development through the early morning.
    While isolated wind damage is possible in the short term, there has
    been a tendency for convection to cluster in southwest Missouri.
    Should a stronger cold pool eventually develop, this could push
    farther south into the buoyancy axis. Additionally, the threat for a
    tornado or two remains with any supercell structures. An increase in low/mid-level rotation has been noted on KSGF/KINX velocity data
    over the last hour. Low-level hodographs remain large per VAD data
    as well.

    ..Wendt.. 06/08/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5v9ebvGuEeG-hZKKqnCKvxpyLCtlHU_3oYUcIBr1ztwbsopBrIKUVb5rDcI-pdVHjE-fFoDE6= VsK8O_lOCV4C9SsAWo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

    LAT...LON 36139548 36859570 37379537 37549527 37129361 36809355
    35639353 35739430 35799485 35939517 36139548=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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