ACUS11 KWNS 080409
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 080408=20
NDZ000-SDZ000-080545-

Mesoscale Discussion 1022
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1108 PM CDT Sun Jun 07 2026

Areas affected...portions of central North Dakota and northern South
Dakota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285...

Valid 080408Z - 080545Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285
continues.

SUMMARY...A few severe gusts remain possible tonight mainly over
north-central North Dakota. Convection is generally weakening and a
downstream watch appears unlikely.

DISCUSSION...Severe storms across WW285 have shown a decrease in
intensity over the last hour. This trend is likely to continue as
these storms move eastward into a less unstable air mass across ND.
Still, a few severe gusts are possible, mainly over portions of
north-central ND where the cold pool is the strongest. Thus some
severe risk will continue over WW285 which has been extended in time
to 0600z. A downstream watch is unlikely given the expected
weakening as the line moves into eastern ND.

Farther south, additional convective development across northwestern
SD is likely occurring behind the surface front/outflow from prior
convection. Recent reports of 50-55 mph gusts from SDDOT sensors
suggest some potential for isolated severe gusts through the
remainder of this evening and into the overnight hours. However,
increasing inhibition lends low confidence to any sustained severe
risk.

..Lyons/Gleason.. 06/08/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8vK3btrKFHH1R4apIcqaJIn-TlGyeeuivDqzoYts7oO5g8SPPXpbU3itWrj80w7Uk6a9xau4P= d4dkO2FRdcMfMMgnDk$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON 49050106 49079956 49089847 46699839 46069907 45160069
44960161 45000259 45510274 46000201 46940062 47440044
49050106=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)