• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1010

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Jun 7 00:12:03 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 070011
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 070011=20
    PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-070145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1010
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0711 PM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026

    Areas affected...eastern Ohio...into southwestern Pennsylvania and
    northern West Virginia

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279...282...

    Valid 070011Z - 070145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 279, 282
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The potential for hail and damaging gusts continues. The
    severe risk is likely to focus near a remnant boundary this evening.

    DISCUSSION...Across WW282, several severe storms, including
    supercells and clusters, have matured this evening. Much of the
    stronger convection has been focused along the remnant baroclinic
    zone from the morning storms from northern and eastern OH, into far southwestern PA and northern WV. To the west, earlier convection and
    cloud debris has largely stabilized the air mass. This trend is
    likely to continue as the remaining storms gradually consolidate
    into one or more clusters. Buoyancy is slowly weakening with the
    loss of diurnal heating, but remains sufficient for supercells given
    robust deep-layer shear. Overall the severe risk for hail, and
    damaging gusts should continue with the strongest storms over the
    next couple of hours. However, a gradual weakening trend is expected
    after sunset as inhibition increases into tonight.

    ..Lyons.. 06/07/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6yHJpm80QY1BqOSkeg6lTDlD4oev0mzt95eiK76b8I85ZSGFc27JL4fQzxukugJ6woZZCORX3= _AusLzLKnys4kfjhYs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

    LAT...LON 40588059 40417995 40117964 39907960 39368028 39358043
    39308274 39508298 39758301 39848284 40248281 40608307
    40828343 41008365 41358334 41608307 41078145 40588059=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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