ACUS11 KWNS 110301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110301=20
ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-110430-

Mesoscale Discussion 0203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1001 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

Areas affected...parts of central Illinois

Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...

Valid 110301Z - 110430Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storms remain likely this evening across WW32. A
few tornadoes, hail and an increasing damaging wind threat are
expected.

DISCUSSION...Across parts of far eastern MO/IA into central IL,
several clusters of strong to severe storms are ongoing as of 0300
UTC. A mixed convective mode is present, and expected to continue,
with semi-discrete supercells ongoing over the western portions of
the watch area. These storms are moving into a very strongly sheared
air mass that remains moderately unstable (LSX VAD 0-1km SRH 500+
m2/s2). This will continue to support supercells and linear
structures capable of all hazards. With time, upscale growth into
one or more linear clusters appears likely. Damaging gusts and a few
tornadoes are possible.

..Lyons.. 03/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-sndDDYSjX8zNHr2xUCMqwCept3XCL0HbSjiFXf_KxdYR4DT0cUz4cW2nW5UKMjoHcNIH9gZI= VrMT7ZYvfMCkTYkZa8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

LAT...LON 40709160 41149045 41178950 41098875 40738831 40508822
40018833 39808928 39629093 39659124 39709146 40709160=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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