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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0195

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Mar 10 23:53:21 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 102353
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 102353=20
    OKZ000-110300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0195
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0653 PM CDT Tue Mar 10 2026

    Areas affected...much of central Oklahoma

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 33...

    Valid 102353Z - 110300Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 33 continues.

    SUMMARY...The environment is becoming more favorable for tornadoes
    along and east of I-35 in Oklahoma, along with damaging hail threat.

    DISCUSSION...A supercell is currently moving across eastern Canadian
    into Oklahoma County, with another supercell currently over Cotton
    moving into Stephens County. Given the discrete nature of these
    cells, they will likely continue to pose a destructive hail and
    tornado threat for several hours and they approach and move across
    the I-35 corridor.

    The latest TLX VWP is showing a gradual increase in low-level shear,
    with 0-1 SRH now over 150 m2/s2. The OK Mesonet shows more robust
    dewpoints generally along and south of a line from CHK to SNL with
    65 to 67 F.

    As such, over the next few hours, the low-level shear and
    environment in general should continue to favor supercells with both
    tornado and large hail risk, as these cells move across I-35. A
    potentially even greater tornado risk could develop in the 00-03Z
    time frame as the low-level jet increases.

    ..Jewell.. 03/10/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_Krvowza3E_7Ck0poGhDsZyIeT20d5N9VGLD5jeyYWG9IA7JjQz7qLiFBhEEUgR8dYAA0sDFP= pK3tis7bz9QIfGPGvc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

    LAT...LON 34149850 35919809 36299708 36089666 35579651 35019646
    34709657 34369709 34149850=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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