• PTC Melissa Final Advisor

    From Mike Powell@1:2320/105 to All on Sat Nov 1 09:07:19 2025
    521
    WTNT33 KNHC 311442
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Melissa Advisory Number 41
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025
    1100 AM AST Fri Oct 31 2025

    ...MELISSA BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
    NORTHWEST ATLANTIC...

    ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...39.0N 60.5W
    ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 650 MI...1045 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 48 MPH...78 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.74 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    None.

    A brief period of heavy rain and gusty winds is possible over the
    southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight. For more
    information on impacts in Canada, see the Canadian Hurricane Center
    website at https://weather.gc.ca .

    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
    Melissa was located near latitude 39.0 North, longitude 60.5 West.
    The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 48 mph
    (78 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue into
    Saturday, followed by a gradual slowdown and turn toward the
    east-northeast later this weekend. On the forecast track, the center
    of Melissa is expected to pass to the southeast of the Avalon
    Peninsula of Newfoundland as a post-tropical cyclone tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next
    few days.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from
    the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275
    miles (445 km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).

    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Melissa can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC.

    WIND: Gusty winds are possible over the southern Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight.

    RAINFALL: A brief period of heavy rain is possible over the southern
    Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland tonight.

    SURF: Swells generated by Melissa will continue to affect portions
    of the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, Bermuda, the
    Northeastern United States coast and portions of Atlantic Canada
    during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.

    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen

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