• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1477

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 27 21:58:05 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 272156
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 272155=20
    MIZ000-272300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1477
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0455 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

    Areas affected...Southeast Lower Michigan

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466...

    Valid 272155Z - 272300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 466
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Isolated wind-damage threat will continue until about 23z.

    DISCUSSION...A broken band of storms is moving eastward across
    southeast Lower MI, with the effective front marked by the aggregate
    outflow boundary coincident with the storms. Unidirectional wind
    profiles from the west-southwest around 30 kt, precipitation loading
    with moderate buoyancy, and lingering steep low-level lapse rates
    suggest some continuing potential for isolated wind damage prior to
    the convection moving into ON by about 23z. Thereafter, the severe
    threat will have ended and the watch will likely be canceled prior
    to the scheduled 01z expiration.

    ..Thompson.. 06/27/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_8YdzavUW0tnA92PDMNd9MVmGQhL22eyBJ8DjKI2smm5piZ1x426qzdZsfMbFt9KXJJ67B3MJ= _jnwb5P-3D4sbhaeEs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DTX...

    LAT...LON 42588265 41878340 41918375 42448382 43158316 43488259
    43288230 42588265=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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