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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1322

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 17 00:58:01 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 170056
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 170056=20
    MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-170230-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1322
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0756 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

    Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...Northeast Kansas...Southwest Iowa...Northwest Missouri

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424...

    Valid 170056Z - 170230Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms across eastern Nebraska and western
    Iowa will continue to push south into Kansas and Missouri this
    evening. The environment will continue to support some severe
    threat. Local extensions of existing Severe Thunderstorm Watch #424
    and/or a new watch will likely be needed.

    DISCUSSION...The apex of a linear MCS/bowing segment continues to
    push south-southeast this evening along the Missouri River in
    eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. These storms have a history of
    producing measured severe winds as they moved through the Omaha
    area. The environment ahead of these thunderstorms remains strongly
    unstable and modestly sheared. Given this environment and the
    established thunderstorm organization, a severe threat will likely
    extend south out of Severe Thunderstorm Watch #424. A combination of
    a local extension in space across Nebraska and Iowa of Severe Watch
    #424 and perhaps a new watch across northeast Kansas and northwest
    Missouri may become necessary in the next 60-90 minutes. Trends are
    being monitored.

    ..Marsh.. 06/17/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6zIPDJFaSyzPNA5pEZucg20hw6zPGkeK1lD01tluTA3phuysq5h_UUnsnVsAK8RfZ6XZplSST= xx9K2faAAy-lEAd5Ag$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...

    LAT...LON 39169462 39239593 40109655 41339683 41769592 40909471
    39549408 39169462=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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