ACUS11 KWNS 162343
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 162342=20
WIZ000-MNZ000-170045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1319
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0642 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Areas affected...Parts of south-central Minnesota

Concerning...Tornado Watch 423...

Valid 162342Z - 170045Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 423 continues.

SUMMARY...A locally favorable corridor for a couple tornadoes is
evident over south-central Minnesota for the next hour or so.

DISCUSSION...A pair of discrete supercells has evolved along the
cold front west-southwest of the Minneapolis metro area. Ahead of
these storms, the MPX VWP is sampling clockwise-curved low-level
hodograph with around 210 m2/s2 0-1km SRH. This favorable streamwise
vorticity and rich boundary-layer moisture (lower 70s dewpoints)
will support a locally favorable corridor for a couple tornadoes
over the next hour or so -- before moving into increased inhibition
to the east.

..Weinman.. 06/16/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-G6tUH8RLj_NtvcCXg0tyjHrjDw7OS28hzPcSqZWL3RpOV76e3XZaX_Ga0N5xtvfLiaBAq67i= y4BtCjy_NdenjWDWRs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...

LAT...LON 44329417 44939368 45099334 45079288 44809265 44389291
43989338 43929371 44069421 44329417=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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