ACUS11 KWNS 151514
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151514=20
TXZ000-151715-

Mesoscale Discussion 1299
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1014 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

Areas affected...portions of north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 151514Z - 151715Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Occasional strong to severe gusts may persist over the
next couple hours before storms weaken.

DISCUSSION...A cold pool driven bowing segment continues southward
across portions of north-central Texas this morning, with occasional
gusts 50-60 mph. Radar velocity continues to indicate strong to
severe winds 50-60 kts around 2-5 kft above the ground. Recent
reports around 60 mph were noted in Knox County Texas. This line
continues to move within a region of strengthening MLCIN across
central Texas and is generally expected to weaken through time. As
such, a watch will not likely be needed.

..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/15/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_8-la7hgMGyYLqi6Smy8-QFQ6QR_8GrjROF3YEP0-4K1ua5sWPe94EAcXqfjiwz6eUNvzj8Ok= JHbxT9mENu6IEmfjp0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

LAT...LON 33310014 33429988 33399896 33709848 33859828 33849798
33709782 33479774 32719752 32329758 32219787 32019917
32069955 32139979 32199990 32270000 33310014=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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