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  • MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0595

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 29 03:36:12 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 290336
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 290335=20
    MIZ000-WIZ000-290500-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0595
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1035 PM CDT Mon Apr 28 2025

    Areas affected...Northeast Wisconsin...southern U.P. of Michigan

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 185...

    Valid 290335Z - 290500Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 185 continues.

    SUMMARY...Strong-severe convection will spread across northeast
    Wisconsin into the southern portions of the U.P. of Michigan. New
    watch is not currently anticipated.

    DISCUSSION...A long-lived elongated MCS is progressing
    east-northeast across WI. Much of this activity has struggled to
    generate more than isolated damaging winds and hail, though one
    notable supercell is tracking along this corridor over
    Langlade/Menominee County. Latest VWP data from GRB exhibits intense
    0-3km SRH as a strong LLJ is focused across IA into this portion of
    the upper Great Lakes. While some tornado risk continues, especially
    with embedded supercells, the primary concern going forward appears
    to be wind/hail. Latest radar data supports a strengthening
    low-level warm advection regime as numerous elevated storms extend
    across the southern U.P. of MI. At this time a new watch is not
    anticipated downstream across the U.P., but some risk for hail may
    be noted, especially over Menominee County MI.

    ..Darrow.. 04/29/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Xg85K9CvgYittSxsuGIchfE8JbhUllhOa2NWdah3SGN0V5Q5UzqDZStpYTGuHZRk3CsRapJn= 8fWi0rSWlZ8nwiVh5U$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

    LAT...LON 45328916 46058693 45058671 44478899 45328916=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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