• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0566

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Apr 29 01:17:25 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 290117
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 290116=20
    MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-290245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0566
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0816 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

    Areas affected...Lower Mississippi Valley

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 160...

    Valid 290116Z - 290245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 160 continues.

    SUMMARY...Severe squall line will advance beyond ww160,
    necessitating the need for a new ww immediately downstream.

    DISCUSSION...Upscale growth continues with MCS as it propagates
    across the Ark-La-TX early this evening. Leading edge of surging bow
    is approaching ELD, and damaging winds will be common with this
    squall line. Given the expanding precip shield and cold pool,
    forward momentum should easily allow this complex to advance beyond
    ww160 across southern AR. Shear profiles favor supercells, but the
    primary storm mode will likely remain an MCS. Even so, tornadoes
    remain possible with embedded circulations, along with any discrete
    structures that could evolve independent of this MCS.

    ..Darrow.. 04/29/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4cSZyWB99qfuj6q9Ad9Xb7PwD-CS6920OCkw2B2MzexdfwHPlJuWFJZVpyPof1n5QXtfJtOL3= FvLdFNmAHXb9-WERF0$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

    LAT...LON 33749366 34949217 34269068 32219190 32339367 33749366=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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